Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Team Liquid (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Team Liquid (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs Team Liquid (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs Team Liquid (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs Team Liquid (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team heretics vs team liquid (bo3) - vct emea group omega stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Heretics and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT E… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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