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Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $643K Liquidity: $740K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Natus Vincere (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Natus Vincere (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.599%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)90%
Match Winner57%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Natus Vincere (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Natus Vincere (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%

Market context

The Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Vitality and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality"…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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