Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 167.5 | 98% |
| O/U 165.5 | 97% |
| O/U 168.5 | 89% |
| Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics | 81% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 79% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 166.5 | 77% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 14.5 | 76% |
| Spread -2.5 | 75% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 72% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 37% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 28% |
Market context
The Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics prediction market currently prices this outcome at 98% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 5 at 7:30PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washingto…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $238K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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