Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
69% | 31% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
69% | 31% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 64% |
| Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream | 50% |
| O/U 187.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 188.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 189.5 | 46% |
| Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5 | 33% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 31% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 27% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 25% |
| Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 25% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 23% |
| Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 22.5 | 22% |
| Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5 | 1% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 69% YES probability for Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 16 at 5:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dre…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $102K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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