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Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx 63% Spread -2.5 57% Spread -3.5 55% O/U 183.5 52% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $392K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx63%
Spread -2.557%
Spread -3.555%
O/U 183.552%
Spread -4.552%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.544%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.530%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.530%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 14.528%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 7.528%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.527%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.523%

Market context

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx — current market-implied probability: 63%. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minneso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx at 63% for "Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx".

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx 63% Other 37%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $103K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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