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Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere

Five-platform snapshot of "Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 Winner 100% Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $194K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 Winner100%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Match O/U 21.575%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Match O/U 22.575%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Match O/U 23.575%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere59%
Completed Match50%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 1 Winner0%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to targu mures: irene burillo escorihuela vs sofya lansere. This market refers to the tennis match between Irene Burillo Escorihuela and Sofya Lansere in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irene …

Methodology

We track Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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