Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification wta: polina kudermetova vs linda fruhvirtova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Linda Fruhvirtova in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. T…
Methodology
This page reviews US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Li… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →