Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to iasi open, qualification: varvara lepchenko vs maia ilinca burcescu. This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Lepchenko and Maia Ilinca Burcescu in the Iasi Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page reviews Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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