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US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $243K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic76%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Match O/U 21.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Match O/U 22.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Game Spread +/-3.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of us open, qualification wta: kristina liutova vs lola radivojevic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Liutova and Lola Radivojevic in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This…

Methodology

We track US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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