Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of iasi open: oleksandra oliynykova vs clara burel. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Oleksandra Oliynykova and Clara Burel in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page reviews Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel on PolyGram
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