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US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 2 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Match O/U 21.5 98% US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% Completed Match 50% Volume: $232K Liquidity: $403K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Match O/U 21.598%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Game Spread +/-2.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Match O/U 22.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Match O/U 23.549%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova42%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova. This market refers to the tennis match between Moyuka Uchijima and Lucie Havlickova in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We track US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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