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Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner 100% Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $52K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.599%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.591%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.591%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.560%
Completed Match50%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina13%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner0%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chengdu open: nikoloz basilashvili vs alejandro davidovich fokina stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davi… on PolyGram

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