Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Buse

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing this contract at **0% YES**, so the market is treating a Feldbausch win over Ignacio Buse at the Generali Open as effectively out of the money on USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional tokens. The underlying event is a men’s singles match at Kitzbühel, with the tournament running from **18 to 25 July 2026**.[1]

That 0% level is best read in the context of tournament timing and match state, not as a view on either player’s inherent strength. The Generali Open is an ATP event played on clay in a short, one-week format, so markets here tend to reprice quickly around draw releases, walkovers, retirement news, and whether a scheduled match is actually completed before the settlement window closes.[1] If the match is not played, is abandoned without a winner, or is pushed beyond the seven-day delay threshold in the market rules, the contract resolves to **50-50** rather than a straight win for either side, which matters when a price sits at zero.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether the fixture is officially on the order of play, whether either player withdraws before first serve, and whether an in-match retirement produces an advance under the market’s rules. Because the market settles on the real-world advancement outcome, not just participation, late-breaking ATP schedule changes, rain interruptions, and medical retirements can matter as much as pre-match form in the final hours before expiry.[1]

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.