Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 65% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet | 48% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner | 48% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner | 48% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 21.5 | 31% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 27% |
| Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 22.5 | 27% |
Market context
Market consensus: 65% chance of canadian open: marton fucsovics vs corentin moutet. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marton Fucsovics and Corentin Moutet in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet on PolyGram
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