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Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Five-platform snapshot of "Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 Winner 100% Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $185K Liquidity: $271K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 Winner100%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 21.575%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 22.575%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 23.575%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine70%
Completed Match50%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 Winner0%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of samsun: kenta miyoshi vs constantin bittoun kouzmine. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Miyoshi and Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine in the Samsun, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

We track Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine on PolyGram

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Related Topics

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