Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo Game Spread +/-5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo. This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Miyoshi and Filip Peliwo in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Phan Thiet 3: Kenta Miyoshi vs Filip Peliwo on PolyGram
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