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US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $395K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: henrique rocha vs lloyd harris. This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Lloyd Harris in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'H…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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