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Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu 100% Completed Match 100% Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 1 Winner 100% Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $71K Closes: 14 Sept 2026
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Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu100%
Completed Match100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 1 Winner100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Match O/U 21.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Match O/U 22.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Match O/U 23.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Game Spread +/-0.5100%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 2 Winner0%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to tulln: juan manuel la serna vs filip jianu. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Filip Jianu in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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