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US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 78% US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 68% US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 55% US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-5.5 52% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $183K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.578%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.568%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.555%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-5.552%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 3.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 36.549%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-2.546%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.532%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner28%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner28%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 Winner28%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 4.521%
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev17%

Market context

Market consensus: 78% chance of us open atp: otto virtanen vs andrey rublev. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets