ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Sofya Lansere vs Lisa Zaar

Platform comparison

Market context

Sofya Lansere faces Lisa Zaar in the ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 tournament in Serbia, scheduled for 13 August 2026. The match sits at 0% implied probability on Polymarket's USDC-settled contract, suggesting either minimal trading activity or a technical pricing anomaly common in lower-liquidity tennis markets. Settlement occurs 7 August 2026 at 10:00 UTC, with conditional tokens resolving based on match outcome or triggering the 50-50 tie condition if the fixture is cancelled or extends beyond the settlement window without completion.

ITF W75 events attract developing professionals and journeymen players; historical data shows such matches rarely fail to complete once scheduled, though Balkan-region tournaments occasionally face weather or administrative delays. Lansere, a French player, and Zaar, competing from the Netherlands, represent mid-tier ranking profiles typical of this circuit tier. The 0% probability likely reflects sparse order-book depth rather than certainty about either player's chances; comparable ITF W75 markets typically show meaningful probability distributions once seeding information and recent form become available closer to the event date.

Traders should monitor ITF official draws and player withdrawal announcements in early August, as late scratches remain the primary catalyst for settlement complications. Recent ITF scheduling data indicates Kursumlijska Banja tournaments maintain reliable completion rates, reducing tie-resolution risk. Court conditions and draw progression updates will clarify whether liquidity increases as the match date approaches, potentially shifting the current extreme pricing.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.