Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 60% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi | 2% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of antalya 4: lina gjorcheska vs aurora zantedeschi. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Lina Gjorcheska and Aurora Zantedeschi in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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