Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Livesport Prague Open match between **Jana Kovackova and Lanlana Tararudee** is pricing at **0% YES** on Polymarket, which means the market is effectively saying there is no live expectation of Kovackova advancing in this contract. On Polymarket, that view is expressed via **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens, so the price reflects where traders are willing to position on the match outcome, not the WTA draw in the abstract.
For context, a 0% print usually appears when the contract is already viewed as settled against that side, or when the chance of the named player advancing has collapsed after an official result, retirement, walkover, or a schedule change that has pushed the event outside the normal decision window. The key read-through is not only competitive strength, but whether the match has been completed, suspended, or moved, because this market can still resolve to **50-50** if it is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner determined.
The immediate catalysts are straightforward: the official Prague Open order of play, any WTA or tournament announcement on court assignments, and whether the match is actually staged before the settlement window closes. Traders also watch for late withdrawals, walkovers, and retirement notices, since those can determine whether the contract resolves to one side or to an even split. On Polymarket, the practical question is whether the result is recorded cleanly on-chain through the event outcome, or whether the market remains exposed to the contingency rules embedded in the conditional token structure.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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