Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Round of 16 clash between Bounty Hunters Esports and MIBR Academy in the CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs, originally set for 7 July at 6:00PM ET, has already passed without a result, leaving the market frozen at 0% YES. On Polymarket, this contract trades as a dormant conditional token on the Polygon network, where USDC liquidity remains locked pending a resolution that hinges on whether the match was played, tied, or cancelled beyond the seven-day window.
Historically, similar B-Tier CS2 events in South America have seen frequent cancellations due to connectivity issues or roster instability, often triggering the 50-50 settlement clause when no winner emerges within the deadline. In previous CCT Series tournaments, matches delayed beyond seven days without a decisive outcome resolved to the tie condition, mirroring the current probability of zero for either team winning outright, as the event window has expired without a confirmed result.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements for any post-match clarifications regarding the match status, as the settlement depends entirely on whether the game was played or deemed void. Recent coverage from Liquipedia confirms the tournament structure but lacks specific details on this match’s outcome, suggesting the need for direct verification from the organiser’s channel to determine if the 50-50 clause applies[1]. Until such confirmation arrives, the market remains inert, with no actionable catalysts beyond the organiser’s final statement.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Acade… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →