Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Red Feet face QUINTESSÊNCIA in a lower bracket round 3 match within the CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs, a regional qualifying tournament for Counter-Strike 2 teams competing for circuit points and prize distribution. The best-of-three fixture was originally scheduled for 13 August 2026 at 22:00 UTC. Polymarket currently prices this contract at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal liquidity positioning ahead of the match window. The conditional token structure on Polygon means traders hold either a Red Feet or QUINTESSÊNCIA token, each redeemable for 1 USDC upon settlement, with the 50-50 resolution clause applying only if the match fails to occur or concludes in a draw—an outcome virtually impossible in Counter-Strike's competitive format.
South American Counter-Strike tournaments have historically shown volatile seeding outcomes in lower bracket stages, where teams eliminated from upper brackets often carry momentum shifts or roster adjustments. Recent CCT Challengers events across regions have demonstrated that regional qualifiers frequently experience scheduling delays or postponements due to player availability conflicts, particularly when tournaments overlap with international events. The seven-day grace period for postponement determinations becomes critical; any delay beyond 168 hours from the original 22:00 UTC start triggers the market's resolution mechanics.
Traders monitoring this contract should track official CCT South America communications for roster confirmations and any scheduling announcements. Both teams' recent performance in earlier playoff rounds and their head-to-head records within regional circuits provide baseline context, though the lower bracket context suggests both sides carry elimination pressure. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 24–48 hours before match time on official tournament channels.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CC… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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