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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

Live odds for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% O/U 6.5 83% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 79% Volume: $742K Liquidity: $134K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
O/U 6.583%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.573%
O/U 8.568%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins60%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.560%
O/U 9.555%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 10.546%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 11.535%
Spread -2.533%
Spread -1.523%
Spread -2.517%

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 13 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $742K.

Methodology

This page reviews Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins on PolyGram

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Related Topics

Sports