Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

PuckChamp defeated Nemiga Gaming 2–1 in their European Pro League Season 39 BO3 match on 1 July 2026, a result now verified by DLTV and Gamers World[2][3]. The prediction market you are viewing, which currently prices PuckChamp at 0% YES, is effectively settled because the underlying event has concluded; on-chain, this means conditional tokens for the "PuckChamp" outcome will resolve to full value while USDC payouts on Polygon will be processed within an hour of official verification[5][6].

Historically, similar markets where the match result is already public but the contract remains open show immediate price convergence to 100% for the winner, as arbitrageurs close positions before the settlement window expires[1]. In past Dota 2 European Pro League cases, once DLTV confirms a final score, liquidity vanishes from the losing side and the winning side trades at parity with the underlying certainty, rendering the 0% quote a mechanical artifact rather than a live probability assessment[4].

Traders should monitor the official Dota 2 verification feed and DLTV match logs to confirm the 2–1 score is permanently recorded, as this triggers the on-chain resolution mechanism[2]. No further catalysts exist since the match is complete; dependencies now rest solely on the platform’s automated settlement logic, which will execute once the outcome is cross-verified by Dota 2, DLTV, and Gamers World[6]. The settlement window ending 2026-07-01 is already past, confirming the market is in its final resolution phase[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.