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Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 80% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 80% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? 80% Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 78% Volume: $793K Liquidity: $94K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?80%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?80%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?80%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?73%
Ends in Daytime51%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 1 Winner19%
Game 2 Winner19%
Match Winner11%

Market context

The Dota 2 clash between ZEDI Esports and GamerLegion in Esports World Cup Group A is set to begin at 09:00 UTC today, with the on-chain contract on Polymarket pricing a ZEDI victory at just 25% YES. This conditional token, settled in USDC on the Polygon network, reflects a market heavily favouring GamerLegion, a sentiment that aligns with broader betting aggregates showing similar odds against the underdog.

Historically, similar Group A mismatches in Tier 1 Dota 2 tournaments often see the higher-ranked side dominate early, yet ZEDI’s 25% implied probability suggests the market expects a competitive BO2 rather than a sweep. Past Esports World Cup fixtures have occasionally produced narrow wins for lower-tier teams when fatigue or map-specific preparation favoured the underdog, though such outcomes remain rare in elite offline settings like the French venue hosting this event[7].

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup broadcast for any pre-match roster announcements or schedule shifts, as dependencies on player availability can rapidly alter conditional token values. Recent coverage from EGamersWorld confirms the BO2 format and 09:00 UTC start time, but any delay beyond the seven-day settlement window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, making real-time schedule adherence critical for position management[3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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