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LoL: Verdant vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Verdant vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 55% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $300K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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LoL: Verdant vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Any Player Penta Kill45%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Any Player Penta Kill45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Odd/Even Total Kills25%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Odd/Even Total Kills25%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: verdant vs arctic pandas (bo3) - nlc playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Verdant and Arctic Pandas in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: Verdant vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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