"Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office

Platform comparison

Market context

Minions & Monsters has already grossed $14.23 million on its opening day, backed by an A- CinemaScore, setting a strong foundation for its five-day July 1–5 domestic run. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 86% YES for the higher bracket, priced in USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens that lock settlement once The Numbers confirms final figures. The on-chain mechanics ensure transparent resolution without studio estimates, with payouts triggered automatically when the 5-day total is verified.

Historically, animated franchises like Despicable Me 3 and 4 opened with $115 million and $127 million respectively over comparable July holiday weekends, while smaller entries such as Sing 2 managed $90 million. Given the $14.23 million opening day and the A- score, a $80 million five-day total aligns with mid-tier franchise performance, making the 86% probability plausible but not guaranteed if Friday–Sunday attendance dips.

Traders should monitor Friday and Sunday box office updates from Deadline and Variety, which track daily performance and competitor drops like Supergirl’s 60% decline. The key dependency is the finalisation of non-estimate figures by July 5, as any delay or revision could shift the bracket outcome. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-06T12:00:00Z, timely data from these sources will determine whether the higher bracket is reached.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.