Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cary: jay dylan friend vs braden shick. This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Braden Shick in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Ja…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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