Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 95% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Washington State O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 91% |
| O/U 41.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 86% |
| Washington State O/U 16.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| O/U 33.5 | 79% |
| O/U 37.5 | 79% |
| O/U 51.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 78% |
| O/U 47.5 | 78% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| O/U 45.5 | 75% |
| Washington State O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| O/U 53.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Arizona O/U 28.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| O/U 59.5 | 43% |
| O/U 63.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Arizona O/U 34.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| O/U 67.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -24.5 | 12% |
| Spread -23.5 | 12% |
| Spread -27.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of arizona vs. washington state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona and Washington State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $259K.
Methodology
This page reviews Arizona vs. Washington State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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