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Louisville vs. North Carolina

Live odds for "Louisville vs. North Carolina" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Louisville vs. North Carolina 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -0.5 100% 1Q O/U 7.5 100% Volume: $353K Liquidity: $20K Closes: 15 Nov 2026
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Louisville vs. North Carolina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Louisville vs. North Carolina100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 11.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5100%
Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 37.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Louisville O/U 20.50%
Louisville O/U 23.50%
Louisville O/U 26.50%
Louisville O/U 29.50%
Louisville O/U 32.50%
North Carolina O/U 23.50%
North Carolina O/U 26.50%
North Carolina O/U 29.50%
North Carolina O/U 32.50%
North Carolina O/U 35.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 13.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 15.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 12.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 14.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 16.50%
Louisville 2H O/U 11.50%
Louisville 2H O/U 13.50%
Louisville 2H O/U 15.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 12.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 14.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of louisville vs. north carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Louisville vs. North Carolina at 100% for "Louisville vs. North Carolina".

Louisville vs. North Carolina 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $353K.

Methodology

We track Louisville vs. North Carolina across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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