Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Rice vs. Fresno State — Prediction Market Snapshot | Polymarket 2026

Name: Rice vs. Fresno State
Start: 2026-09-21T20:17:51.000Z
End: 2026-09-27T02:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open the market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open the market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open the market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open the market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 24.5	100%
1H O/U 16.5	100%
1H O/U 19.5	100%
1Q O/U 3.5	100%
1Q O/U 6.5	100%
2Q O/U 7.5	100%
2Q O/U 10.5	100%
2Q O/U 13.5	100%
Rice O/U 8.5	100%
Rice O/U 11.5	100%
Rice 1H O/U 5.5	100%
Rice 1H O/U 7.5	100%
Rice 1H O/U 9.5	100%
1Q Moneyline	100%
O/U 30.5	95%
O/U 26.5	91%
1H O/U 22.5	91%
1H O/U 25.5	91%
2Q O/U 16.5	91%
2Q O/U 19.5	91%
O/U 36.5	90%
O/U 42.5	79%
O/U 28.5	76%
O/U 32.5	75%
O/U 34.5	75%
O/U 44.5	75%
O/U 38.5	70%
O/U 40.5	68%
O/U 46.5	66%
Rice O/U 14.5	64%
Spread -3.5	53%
O/U 48.5	53%
Rice O/U 20.5	51%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -15.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
Spread -19.5	50%
Spread -22.5	50%
Spread -28.5	50%
Spread -31.5	50%
Spread -34.5	50%
1H Spread -4.5	50%
1H Spread -6.5	50%
1H Spread -8.5	50%
1H Spread -9.5	50%
1H Spread -11.5	50%
1H O/U 28.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -4.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -6.5	50%
2H Spread -7.5	50%
2H Spread -9.5	50%
2H O/U 16.5	50%
2H O/U 19.5	50%
2H O/U 22.5	50%
2H O/U 25.5	50%
2H O/U 28.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -2.5	50%
2Q Spread -3.5	50%
2Q Spread -4.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
2Q Spread -7.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -2.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q O/U 3.5	50%
3Q O/U 6.5	50%
3Q O/U 9.5	50%
3Q O/U 12.5	50%
3Q O/U 15.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -2.5	50%
4Q Spread -3.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q O/U 5.5	50%
4Q O/U 8.5	50%
4Q O/U 11.5	50%
4Q O/U 14.5	50%
4Q O/U 17.5	50%
Rice O/U 17.5	50%
Fresno State O/U 23.5	50%
Fresno State O/U 26.5	50%
Fresno State O/U 29.5	50%
Fresno State O/U 32.5	50%
Fresno State O/U 35.5	50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5	50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 18.5	50%
Rice 2H O/U 5.5	50%
Rice 2H O/U 7.5	50%
Rice 2H O/U 9.5	50%
Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5	50%
Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5	50%
Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Rice O/U 1.5	50%
Fresno State O/U 3.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5	50%
Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Rice 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Rice 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Rice Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Rice Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Rice Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Rice Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Rice Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Rice Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Rice vs. Fresno State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
O/U 50.5	44%
Spread -5.5	43%
Spread -27.5	43%
Spread -6.5	38%
O/U 52.5	37%
Spread -20.5	36%
Spread -21.5	36%
Spread -24.5	35%
Spread -16.5	34%
O/U 54.5	34%
O/U 56.5	34%
Spread -8.5	33%
O/U 58.5	33%
Spread -7.5	32%
O/U 62.5	32%
O/U 64.5	31%
Spread -9.5	30%
Rice vs. Fresno State	28%
Spread -2.5	28%
Spread -3.5	27%
Spread -10.5	24%
Spread -11.5	24%
1H Spread -7.5	22%
Spread -30.5	20%
Spread -13.5	19%
Spread -6.5	18%
Spread -12.5	18%
O/U 60.5	18%
Spread -14.5	17%
Spread -17.5	13%
1Q Spread -0.5	0%
1Q Spread -2.5	0%
1Q Spread -3.5	0%
1Q Spread -4.5	0%
1Q Spread -5.5	0%
1Q Spread -7.5	0%
1Q O/U 9.5	0%
1Q O/U 12.5	0%
1Q O/U 15.5	0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of rice vs. fresno state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Fresno State, scheduled for September 26 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 24.5 at 100% for "Rice vs. Fresno State".

O/U 24.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $555K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?: Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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Rice vs. Fresno State

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Rice vs. Fresno State on PolyGram

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