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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $235K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-6.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MAG (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-9.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: metanoia wolves vs magicos (bo3) - cct south america series 3 group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between METANOIA WOLVES and MAGICOS in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 3:00PM E…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - C… on PolyGram

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