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US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 36.5 100% Volume: $456K Liquidity: $501K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 36.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Game Spread +/-1.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 Winner2%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 4.51%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov0%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 38.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 4 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 40.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 3 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 4 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 4 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov Set 4 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: miomir kecmanovic vs denis shapovalov. This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Denis Shapovalov in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir K…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov on PolyGram

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Related Topics

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