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The Citadel vs. Charlotte

Five-platform snapshot of "The Citadel vs. Charlotte" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

The Citadel vs. Charlotte 100% O/U 46.5 100% O/U 26.5 100% O/U 28.5 100% Volume: $60K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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The Citadel vs. Charlotte

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
The Citadel vs. Charlotte100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
O/U 66.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Charlotte O/U 27.5100%
Charlotte O/U 30.5100%
Charlotte O/U 33.5100%
Charlotte O/U 36.5100%
Charlotte O/U 39.5100%
The Citadel O/U 7.5100%
The Citadel O/U 10.5100%
The Citadel O/U 13.5100%
The Citadel O/U 16.5100%
The Citadel O/U 19.5100%
The Citadel 1H O/U 4.5100%
The Citadel 1H O/U 6.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
Charlotte O/U 28.5100%
Charlotte O/U 31.5100%
Charlotte O/U 34.5100%
Charlotte O/U 37.5100%
Charlotte O/U 40.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread: Charlotte (-15.5)0%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
The Citadel 1H O/U 8.50%
Charlotte 1H O/U 15.50%
Charlotte 1H O/U 17.50%
Charlotte 1H O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%

Market context

The The Citadel vs. Charlotte prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If The Citadel wins, the market will resolve to "The Citadel". If Charlotte wins, the market will resolve to "Charlotte".…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices The Citadel vs. Charlotte at 100% for "The Citadel vs. Charlotte".

The Citadel vs. Charlotte 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $60K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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