Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| CSD Colo-Colo | 100% |
| Everton de Viña del Mar | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Everton de Viña del Mar versus CSD Colo-Colo is a Chile Primera match scheduled for 1 August 2026, and Polymarket is pricing the contract at **0% YES** today, which leaves the market implying an effectively zero chance of the event resolving in the affirmative. On Polymarket, that means the contract is being traded via USDC on Polygon and settled through conditional tokens, so the relevant question for a user is not just who wins on the pitch but whether the listed event still meets the market’s exact settlement rules.
The historical frame points one way: Colo-Colo has dominated this matchup over a long sample, with one source putting the record at 28 wins for Colo-Colo, eight for Everton and seven draws across 43 meetings since 2004[1], while another recent head-to-head summary shows Colo-Colo unbeaten in the last four clashes and winning the most recent meeting 3-4 away on 1 August 2026[4][12]. That kind of imbalance is useful context for reading a near-zero price, because a 0% implied probability usually signals either a market that has already resolved into a likely outcome or a contract whose settlement conditions are being treated as practically impossible to satisfy.
A trader should watch for fixture confirmation, kick-off changes, and any Chile Primera scheduling updates, because those can matter more than team strength in a contract with an extreme price. The immediate live dependency is whether the official competition listing, venue, and timing remain aligned with the market definition before the settlement window closes, and the latest score services already show this match as played on 1 August 2026 with Colo-Colo winning 3-4[4][7]. If the market wording is tied to a specific official result or metadata condition, those administrative details will determine settlement on-chain, not the pre-match consensus alone.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CSD Colo-Colo on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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