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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Destroy Barracks 90% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Ends in Daytime 50% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Volume: $754K Liquidity: $569K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner28%
First Blood in Game 2?26%
Match Winner13%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gamin…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esport… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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