Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
16% | 84% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
16% | 84% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana | 16% |
| Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana | 14% |
| Any Other Score | 12% |
| Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana | 11% |
| Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana | 10% |
| Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana | 10% |
| Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana | 9% |
| Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana | 7% |
| Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana | 5% |
| Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana | 3% |
| Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana | 3% |
| Colombia 3 - 2 Ghana | 2% |
| Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana | 1% |
| Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana | 1% |
| Colombia 0 - 3 Ghana | 0% |
| Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana | 0% |
| Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana | 0% |
Market context
The Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 16% YES. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Colombia vs. Ghana match originally s…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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