Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Mirassol’s Copa Libertadores tie with LDU de Quito is live on Polymarket as an on-chain USDC market on Polygon, with the contract currently pricing **0% YES** for the “More Markets” settlement outcome. In practical terms, traders are not only reading the football result itself, but also whether the specific additional-market condition attached to this fixture resolves in the affirmative before the 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC window closes.

The historical read-through is thin but useful. The clubs have already met twice in this Libertadores campaign, and the split has been even: LDU won 2-0 in Quito in April, while Mirassol returned the favour with a 2-0 home win in the recent first-leg setting, leaving the head-to-head level at one win each.[1][8][10] That makes a flat 0% implied probability notable, because comparable knockout markets usually move away from zero once the underlying match context and prior meeting are both visible to traders; here, the market is still effectively saying the “more markets” condition has not yet been priced in at all.

For traders, the main catalysts are procedural rather than abstract. The settlement depends on the official match timeline, any additional market prompt tied to the fixture, and whether the event is finalised cleanly within the window ending at 22:00 UTC, with kick-off listed at 23:00 local time in the BBC live centre.[2][5] Line-up confirmations, referee decisions, and any schedule adjustment matter because Polymarket resolves via the relevant oracle inputs to the conditional token, so late changes can affect whether USDC collateral is released or the position remains open until formal resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.