D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution

Platform comparison

Market context

D.C. United and New England Revolution will meet in an MLS regular-season fixture on Wednesday, 19 August 2026. The Polymarket contract pricing this matchup at 0% YES reflects either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful price discovery on Polygon. With settlement occurring at 23:30 UTC on the scheduled date, traders are effectively pricing in certainty about the result—a rare state in sports prediction markets where conditional tokens typically reflect genuine uncertainty across outcomes.

Historical MLS head-to-head records between these Eastern Conference rivals provide context for interpreting such extreme pricing. D.C. United holds a marginal advantage in the all-time series, though recent seasons have seen competitive balance shift. When Polymarket contracts on regular-season MLS matches settle at 0%, the mechanism usually signals either a dominant favourite backed by substantial USDC liquidity, or a market with insufficient trading activity to move prices away from initial conditions. The settlement window's precision—tied to official MLS match completion—removes ambiguity around timing, though weather delays or fixture postponements remain external dependencies that could affect when conditional tokens actually resolve.

Traders monitoring this contract should track team news releases and injury reports through mid-August, as squad availability often drives late-market repricing in football prediction markets. MLS fixture congestion and travel schedules in late summer can influence performance, particularly for teams managing concurrent continental or domestic cup commitments. Official MLS communications regarding any fixture changes would directly impact settlement mechanics, making the league's scheduling announcements a critical watch point through 19 August.

Methodology

This page reviews D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.