FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Cincinnati travel to New York City FC on 19 August for an MLS regular-season fixture scheduled for 7:30 PM ET. The market currently settles at 0% YES on Polymarket, indicating traders have assigned negligible probability to whatever condition this contract specifies—likely a specific match outcome, goal scorer, or statistical threshold. With settlement closing at 23:30 UTC that same evening, the window for price discovery extends roughly 16 hours post-kickoff, allowing late-breaking match data to influence final odds before conditional tokens resolve on Polygon.

Historical MLS matchups between these clubs show competitive variance. Cincinnati finished 2023 with 52 points across 34 matches; NYC FC posted 56 points in the same season. Head-to-head records since Cincinnati's 2019 MLS entry reveal no dominant pattern—results have split relatively evenly, with home advantage mattering more than historical seeding. The 0% pricing suggests either an extremely unlikely outcome or a contract specification so narrow (e.g., a particular player scoring in a specific minute range) that base-rate probability sits genuinely low. Comparable niche MLS markets on Polymarket have occasionally shown similar floor pricing when conditions require multiple independent events to align.

Traders should monitor team news through 19 August: injury reports, lineup confirmations, and weather conditions in New York could shift conditional probabilities if the contract hinges on player availability or match tempo. Recent MLS scheduling has occasionally produced fixture congestion affecting squad rotation. The USDC settlement mechanism on Polygon means final resolution depends on oracle data submission post-match, typically within hours of full-time whistle.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.