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Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $116K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Toronto FC O/U 0.5100%
Toronto FC O/U 1.5100%
Toronto FC O/U 2.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 2.5100%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Toronto FC (-1.5)0%
Charlotte FC (-1.5)0%
Toronto FC (-2.5)0%
Charlotte FC (-2.5)0%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Toronto FC and Charlotte FC meet in Major League Soccer on 19 August at 7:30 PM ET, with settlement contingent on whether additional betting markets materialise for this fixture. The 0% probability reflects Polymarket's current pricing: traders are assigning negligible odds that supplementary markets will be created and resolved before the 23:30 UTC deadline. This is a meta-market on Polymarket's own product expansion rather than the match outcome itself. The conditional token structure means settlement depends on whether the platform or its liquidity providers elect to list related markets—goal scorer props, corner totals, or team performance derivatives—before the window closes.

Comparable MLS fixtures on Polymarket show that secondary market creation typically follows high-liquidity primary markets. When major derbies or playoff-adjacent matches draw substantial volume, platform operators have historically authorised additional derivative contracts within hours of the primary market's launch. Toronto FC's recent form and Charlotte's competitive standing will influence whether traders perceive sufficient interest to justify the operational overhead of launching more granular markets. The current zero probability suggests either low anticipated engagement or structural constraints on market creation timing.

Traders should monitor Polymarket's official announcements and the primary Toronto FC versus Charlotte FC market's volume trajectory through 18 August. Significant USDC inflows into the core match market would typically signal platform appetite for conditional markets. Settlement hinges entirely on whether such markets exist and resolve before the deadline—not on the match itself.

Methodology

This page reviews Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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