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Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $226K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map Handicap: AG.AL (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: global esports vs ag.al international (bo3) - esports world cup group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Global Esports and AG.AL International in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET. …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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