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Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $370K Liquidity: $843K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5100%
Map 2 Winner87%
Match Winner62%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.551%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 35.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between MIBR and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas… on PolyGram

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