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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 100% Volume: $243K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs MIBR LOS (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs MIBR LOS (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs MIBR LOS (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between MIBR LOS and Team Heretics in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR LO…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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