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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Any Player Penta Kill 94% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Match Winner 61% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 59% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $290K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill94%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Match Winner61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Game 1 Winner56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Game 2 Winner55%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%

Market context

Market consensus: 94% chance of lol: t1 vs dplus kia (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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