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Serbia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Serbia vs. Netherlands - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 96% Netherlands O/U 0.5 91% O/U 1.5 82% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% Volume: $426K Liquidity: $692K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Serbia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Netherlands O/U 0.591%
O/U 1.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
1st Half O/U 0.576%
Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.572%
Netherlands O/U 1.568%
Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.564%
O/U 2.561%
Serbia O/U 0.557%
Both Teams to Score53%
2nd Half O/U 1.553%
Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.552%
Serbia 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Netherlands 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Serbia 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Serbia 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 3.547%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Netherlands (-1.5)46%
Serbia O/U 4.546%
Netherlands (-5.5)45%
1st Half O/U 1.540%
Netherlands O/U 2.540%
Serbia (-4.5)40%
Serbia 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
O/U 3.538%
Serbia (-5.5)38%
Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.536%
Netherlands 1st Half O/U 3.535%
Serbia O/U 5.533%
Serbia 1st Half O/U 0.531%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half27%
Netherlands (-2.5)25%
2nd Half O/U 2.525%
Serbia (-3.5)23%
Serbia O/U 1.521%
O/U 4.520%
Netherlands O/U 3.520%
Serbia 1st Half O/U 3.520%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19%
Serbia 1st Half O/U 1.518%
1st Half O/U 4.517%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Netherlands (-3.5)12%
O/U 5.59%
Serbia 2nd Half O/U 1.59%
Netherlands O/U 4.58%
Serbia O/U 2.55%
1st Half O/U 3.55%
Netherlands (-4.5)4%
O/U 6.54%
Serbia (-1.5)3%
Netherlands O/U 5.53%
Serbia (-2.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Serbia O/U 3.51%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Serbia vs. Netherlands - More Markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 27 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Serbia vs. Netherlands - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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