Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs JD Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs JD Gaming (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs JD Gaming (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs JD Gaming (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-11.5) vs JD Gaming (+11.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-10.5) vs JD Gaming (+10.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: JD Gaming (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: jd gaming vs fut esports (bo3) - vct champions group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between JD Gaming and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champ… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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