Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo | 76% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 21.5 | 52% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| O/U 178.5 | 52% |
| Azzi Fudd: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| María Conde: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 177.5 | 50% |
| O/U 179.5 | 49% |
| O/U 180.5 | 46% |
| Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 76% YES probability for Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
We track Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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